Theoretical probability

  • Bipin's Choice
    problem

    Bipin's Choice

    Age
    7 to 11
    Challenge level
    filled star filled star empty star
    Bipin is in a game show and he has picked a red ball out of 10 balls. He wins a large sum of money, but can you use the information to decided what he should do next?
  • Trick or Treat
    problem

    Trick or Treat

    Age
    7 to 11
    Challenge level
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    Mrs. Smith had emptied packets of chocolate-covered mice, plastic frogs and gummi-worms into a cauldron for treats. What treat is Trixie most likely to pick out?
  • problem

    Winning the Lottery

    Age
    7 to 11
    Challenge level
    filled star filled star empty star

    Find out about the lottery that is played in a far-away land. What is the chance of winning?

  • A Bit of a Dicey problem
    problem

    A Bit of a Dicey Problem

    Age
    7 to 11
    Challenge level
    filled star filled star filled star

    When you throw two regular, six-faced dice you have more chance of getting one particular result than any other. What result would that be? Why is this?

  • A Brief History of Probability
    problem

    A Brief History of Probability

    Age
    11 to 14
    Challenge level
    filled star empty star empty star

    Can you help d'Alembert discover the probabilty of at least one head in two coin flips?

  • Handling Data - Short Problems
    problem

    Nine or Ten?

    Age
    11 to 14
    Challenge level
    filled star filled star filled star

    Is a score of 9 more likely than a score of 10 when you roll three dice?

  • Fabric bag open at the top, showing a number of blue marbles.
    problem

    Marbles and Bags

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
    filled star filled star empty star

    Two bags contain different numbers of red and blue marbles. A marble is removed from one of the bags. The marble is blue. What is the probability that it was removed from bag A?

  • Coin Tossing Games
    problem

    Coin Tossing Games

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
    filled star filled star empty star

    You and I play a game involving successive throws of a fair coin. Suppose I pick HH and you pick TH. The coin is thrown repeatedly until we see either two heads in a row (I win) or a tail followed by a head (you win). What is the probability that you win?